What are the chances of winning blackjack? Is it worth playing?

To fully understand the process of playing blackjack, you need to understand all of its chances. It is crucial to know how the casino gains its advantage and how it helps it win. And it’s just interesting to know what are the odds of winning Blackjack.

Your chance to win blackjack

The dealer’s advantage in blackjack is because the dealer’s hand opens and gets only after all players are the first to make their decision. This advantage is about 8%. Using the basic strategy, you can turn a casino advantage from 8% to its advantage at 0.5%.

Here is the probability of some situations.

Probability of busting

This table shows blackjack win odds and how likely it is to search if you draw the next card with a certain hand.

 

Hand Probability of busting,%
21 100
20 92
19 85
18 77
17 69
16 62
15 58
14 56
13 39
12 31
11 or less 0

The final hand of the dealer

The table shows the probability of how many points the dealer will score.

 

The final hand of the dealer

% Summary %
21 (BlackJack) 4,83 4,83
21 (3 or more cards) 7,36 12,19
20 17,58 29,77
19 13,48 43,25
18 13,81 57,06
17 14,58 71,64
Probability of busting 28,36

The player advantage over dealer’s open card

The table of best blackjack odds shows that if the dealer always got the top five, then your chances of winning a player playing according to the basic strategy were 23.2%, and if you always have a card of 9 or older, your advantage would always be in the negative range.

 

Dealer Open Card The probability of busting by the dealer, % Basic player strategy advantage, %
2 35,3 9,8
3 37,56 13,4
4 40,28 18,0
5 42,89 23,2
6 42,08 22,9
7 25,99 14,3
8 23,86 5,4
9 23,34 -4,3
10, J, Q, K 21,43 -16,9
Ace 11,65 -16,0

 

We hope that this information will be useful to you practically, will increase your chances of winning in Blackjack, or help to more deeply and fully understand such a complex and exciting gambling.

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